GT
GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC. (GTE)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record production and mixed financials: WI production rose to 47,196 boe/d (+1% q/q; +44% y/y) on Canada integration and Ecuador exploration; revenue (oil, gas, NGL sales) fell to $152.5M (-11% q/q; -8% y/y) amid lower Brent, while Adjusted EBITDA was $77.0M (vs. $85.2M in Q1) and net loss was $12.7M .
- EPS beat vs. S&P Global: Q2 2025 EPS was $(0.36) vs. consensus $(0.43), a $0.07 beat; revenue consensus was not available* [GetEstimates Q2 2025]*.
- Cost/operational positives: Operating costs fell to $13.42/boe (lowest since Q1’22), operating netback was $21.39/boe, and hedging delivered a $14M gain; cash from ops declined to $34.7M (-53% q/q) as Brent fell 11% q/q and timing of vendor payments/working capital normalized .
- Liquidity/deleveraging path: Signed a mandate for up to $200M crude prepayment, confirmed C$100M Canada borrowing base; net debt ended at $746M (total debt $807M, cash $61M) with a long-term target of 1.0x net debt/Adj. EBITDA .
- Near-term catalysts: Closing of UK North Sea exit (Q3 2025), drilling of two Charapa (Conejo) exploration wells in Ecuador (starting late Q3), and continued Montney ramp can drive sentiment and estimates .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Record total company average quarterly production of 47,196 boe/d as Canada and Ecuador contributions scaled; Acordionero base strengthened via waterflood management and facility upgrades (“continue to mitigate base decline”) .
- Operating efficiency: Operating costs dropped to $13.42/boe (lowest since Q1’22); South American quality/transport discounts tightened (Castilla $4.73/bbl; Vasconia $1.71/bbl; Oriente $7.26/bbl) supporting realized pricing .
- Hedging & diversification: $14M derivative hedging gain and balanced hedge book (e.g., ~50% South American oil hedged in 2H25) buffered lower Brent; Canada Montney wells outperforming type curves .
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What Went Wrong
- Profitability pressure: Net loss $(12.7)M as Brent fell 11% q/q; operating netback declined to $21.39/boe (-6% q/q; -45% y/y) on pricing and a heavier mix including Canada .
- Cash flow downshift: Net cash from operating activities fell to $34.7M (-53% q/q; -53% y/y) amid lower prices and working capital timing; funds flow from ops dipped to $53.9M (-3% q/q) .
- Leverage remains elevated: Net debt $746M (total debt $807M; cash $61M); transportation expense rose with Canada volumes; some Ecuador barrels (143,730 bbl) deferred into July reduced Q2 WI sales .
Financial Results
Segment/Regional breakdown
- South America vs. Canada
Key KPIs
Guidance Changes
Note: Q2 2025 press release/8-K did not provide updated formal guidance ranges; management commentary focused on operations, liquidity, and upcoming catalysts .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
(Gran Tierra’s Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was not available in the document set; themes below use Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 calls for trend context, with Q2 “Current Period” from the press release.)
Management Commentary
- “Gran Tierra delivered record-setting production this quarter, reflecting the strength of our diversified portfolio and consistent operational execution across Colombia, Ecuador, and Canada.” — Gary Guidry, President & CEO .
- “In Acordionero, our proactive waterflood management, surface facility upgrades, pump upsizes and ongoing improvement in electrical submersible pump run lives continue to mitigate base decline.” .
- “In the Simonette, the first two (1.0 net) Lower Montney wells were completed successfully… Results from both wells are currently out-performing management’s current type curves.” .
- Liquidity: “Signed a mandate letter with a syndicate of banks for a $200 million prepayment facility backed by crude oil deliveries… closing expected in the third quarter of 2025.” .
Q&A Highlights
(Q2 2025 call transcript not available; highlights below reflect Q1 2025 call context.)
- Working capital and CapEx timing: Q1 build expected to unwind in Q2; CapEx and vendor timing explained .
- Hedging policy: Target ~30–50% in first 6 months and 20–30% in next 6 months; increasing hedge position to meet targets .
- Acordionero optimization: Daily surveillance across five sectors, rapid workovers to sustain response .
- Capital allocation: Dynamic approach; majority of cash flow to debt reduction with modest buybacks; longer-term split of incremental FCF 50% debt / 50% buybacks discussed in Q4 call .
- Ecuador development timing: Aim to reach plateau in ~2–3 years post-commitments; infrastructure build-out to support regional development .
Estimates Context
- EPS: Q2 2025 Primary EPS consensus $(0.43)* on 1 estimate vs. actual $(0.36), a $0.07 beat* [GetEstimates Q2 2025]* .
- Revenue: No compiled S&P Global consensus available for Q2 2025; actual $152.5M [GetEstimates Q2 2025]* .
- EBITDA: Actual $84.9M EBITDA and $77.0M Adjusted EBITDA; consensus series not available in the feed .
Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Record production with improving unit costs underscores operational execution; South American differentials tightened further, supporting realized pricing despite Brent softness .
- EPS beat vs S&P Global consensus (loss narrower than expected) should temper downside from lower revenue/prices; however, Adjusted EBITDA stepped down q/q and operating cash flow halved q/q, warranting caution near term [GetEstimates Q2 2025]* .
- Liquidity actions (up to $200M prepay, confirmed Canada borrowing base) are constructive against a $746M net debt balance; watch timing/terms of the prepay and Q3 close of UK North Sea exit for balance sheet signals .
- Acordionero waterflood response and Canada Montney outperformance provide line-of-sight to sustaining base and enhancing capital efficiency into 2H25 .
- Ecuador remains a 2H25 catalyst: Charapa (Conejo) drilling and subsequent Perico/Espejo acquisition could accelerate a broader development plan and infrastructure-led cost improvements .
- Hedge book and diversified commodity exposure (oil-heavy South America plus Canada gas/liquids) help cushion volatility, but realized netbacks are sensitive to Brent and AECO; maintain focus on differentials/hedge updates .
- For estimates, absence of revenue consensus limits headline “beat/miss” framing; Street models may need to recalibrate for mix (Canada gas/liquids) and lower Brent, while acknowledging tightening differentials and unit cost progress .
Additional Notes and Sources
- Q2 2025 press release and 8-K (Item 2.02) provide the detailed financial and operational data and non-GAAP reconciliations -.
- Relevant Q2 period press releases: UK North Sea asset sale (expected Q3 close) and Board change .
- Prior quarter context from Q1 2025 press release and call used for trend analysis and guidance baselines -.
(End of report)